Iran Makes Nuclear Threat
It's 12:17 AM on Thursday morning here in Albany. I guess I don't need to get back to sleep too soon, since I already fell asleep from 7:30 PM to 10:30 PM, and there is one more issue I would like to address while I am up and have some energy. I am thinking about nuclear nonproliferation because Iran Makes Nuclear Threat was the lead story when I opened Google on my smartphone yesterday, and I couldn't help but read the article, which opens:
Iran is threatening to raise uranium enrichment to weapons-grade levels and exit the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) if Western powers move forward with reimposing United Nations sanctions, according to Iranian state media.
This is not what the world wants to hear. Iran should be willing to suspend uranium enrichment for 12 months and work with IAEA inspectors to remove all highly enriched uranium from its borders within that time frame in order to buttress the integrity of the NPT, which is threatened by Iranian enrichment brinkmanship, on the one hand, and arguably by US and Israeli policies, on the other (perhaps according to a majority in the UN General Assembly). That Iran is once again moving in the opposite direction - nuclear weapons-grade levels of enrichment - suggests it has been committed to acquiring a nuclear arsenal all along. This in turn only strengthens the US and Israeli argument that Iran has been lying to the world about its intentions, and that discriminate, preemptive military action is urgently needed to counter an existential proliferation threat.
It's possible this is just face-saving Iranian bluster, and that Iran has every intention of cooperating with the E3 and Witkoff to ensure that snapback isn't needed by the end of August. It's also possible Iran really means it. What are President Trump's options if Iran really means it? How strong is Khamenei domestically right now, and is he the one driving Iranian nuclear policy, or is it the IRGC? The Google Gemini OSINT responses to these questions are fascinating. I wonder what kind of AI they use at CIA.
Alright, it's 1:18 AM. This is a hard note to fall asleep on. Maybe I should try listening to Psalm 151, if I can find it on YouTube, and if not, then Psalm 3.
Comments
Post a Comment