Planning for IPCC 7

Wisely handling global concern about climate change is an integral component of 21st century messianic political consciousness. I note Trump’s Climate Denial Is a Gift to China and Remarks by H.E. Xi Jinping President of the People’s Republic of China at the Leaders Meeting on Climate and the Just Transition. China has positioned itself as the leader of the Global South, despite its high carbon emissions, its growing nuclear arsenal, its robust military investments, and its permanent membership on the UN Security Council. The inclusion of India and Brazil as permanent UN Security Council members would change the dynamic considerably. 

Total US emissions have been trending downward since 2005:

China's emissions have been rising since 1990, but they may have peaked in 2024-2025, five years ahead of China's 2030 target. That would be an impressive accomplishment, especially if it is followed by steady reductions to net zero:

This graph shows India and EU emissions alongside those of China and the US:

And here is one final graph for your consideration:

If you're with the IPCC and you're working on the Seventh Assessment Report (cf. Scientists Form Academic Alliance to Support U.S. Climate Researchers | Rutgers University), I hope you are factoring in vegan, vegetarian, and flexitarian dietary transition, afforestation, and a voluntary world one child policy alongside technical carbon capture and next generation nuclear breakthroughs. Even if Putin, Trump and Xi get strategic great power stability and global nuclear disarmament back on course by the end of Trump's second term - for which all three could win a Nobel Peace Prize - future administrations are very likely to be dealing with a problematic ecological overshoot trajectory.